Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Boston Utd
28.2%
Draw
31.8%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Boston Utd
vs
1.22
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).