Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
Milan
18.7%
Draw
11.7%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Milan
vs
0.72
Torino
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).