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AHT: 01

03 Nov 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.3%
LNZ Cherkasy
28.8%
Draw
17.9%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

LNZ Cherkasy

vs
0.66

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.6%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).