Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.7%
Harrogate
26.6%
Draw
52.7%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Harrogate
vs
1.39
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).