Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Nice
22.6%
Draw
34.6%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Nice
vs
1.45
Lorient
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
0-0
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).