Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Karlsruhe
25.5%
Draw
35.8%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Karlsruhe
vs
1.56
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).