Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Empoli
26.5%
Draw
23.1%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Empoli
vs
1.07
Avellino
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).