Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Sp Gijon
22.4%
Draw
40.9%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Sp Gijon
vs
1.76
Santander
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).