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07 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Hartlepool
31.2%
Draw
33.3%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Hartlepool

vs
1.09

Halifax

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).