Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Galatasaray
18.5%
Draw
5.2%
Genclerbirligi
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Galatasaray
vs
0.57
Genclerbirligi
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).