Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Barcelona
11.8%
Draw
7.4%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
3.21
Barcelona
vs
0.95
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.578.4%
Over 3.559.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
1-1
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
5-0
4.4%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).