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HHT: 11CSV

04 Mar 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.1%
Angers
25.2%
Draw
21.7%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Angers

vs
0.78

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).