Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Paris FC
21.8%
Draw
23.6%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Paris FC
vs
1.17
Metz
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).