Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Lecce
22.1%
Draw
11.0%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Lecce
vs
0.68
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).