Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Sunderland
32.8%
Draw
35.9%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Sunderland
vs
1.14
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).