Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Concarneau
24.1%
Draw
53.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Concarneau
vs
1.51
Troyes
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).