Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Lyon
11.9%
Draw
8.4%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.13
Lyon
vs
0.97
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.3%
1-1
4.9%
5-0
4.1%
5-1
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).