Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Newcastle
24.3%
Draw
19.0%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Newcastle
vs
1.09
West Ham
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).