Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Sp Gijon
27.1%
Draw
36.6%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Sp Gijon
vs
1.23
Espanol
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).