Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Stoke
27.8%
Draw
47.1%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Stoke
vs
1.52
Coventry
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).