Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Catanzaro
22.4%
Draw
12.0%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Catanzaro
vs
0.73
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).