Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Crawley Town
24.4%
Draw
37.7%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Crawley Town
vs
1.38
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).