Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.9%
Rio Ave
20.0%
Draw
73.0%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Rio Ave
vs
1.97
Porto
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.2%
0-1
16.9%
0-3
11.3%
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
0-5
2.2%
2-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).