Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Burton
22.2%
Draw
20.0%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Burton
vs
0.86
Accrington
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).