Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Catanzaro
25.2%
Draw
17.6%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Catanzaro
vs
0.90
Padova
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).