Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
FC Koln
27.5%
Draw
35.5%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
FC Koln
vs
1.39
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).