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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.0%
Club Brugge
19.1%
Draw
19.9%
Dudley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.24

Club Brugge

vs
1.21

Dudley Town

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).