⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

04 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
24.9%
West Ham
25.4%
Draw
49.7%
Liverpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

West Ham

vs
1.87

Liverpool

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).