Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Freiburg
25.4%
Draw
25.2%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Freiburg
vs
1.16
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).