Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.7%
West Brom
26.9%
Draw
52.4%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
West Brom
vs
1.73
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).