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07 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.4%
Guisborough Town
38.6%
Draw
43.0%
Kendal Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.44

Guisborough Town

vs
0.84

Kendal Town

Markets

BTTS19.7%
Over 0.572.3%
Over 1.536.0%
Over 2.513.6%
Over 3.54.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
27.7%
0-1
23.8%
1-0
12.5%
1-1
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-2
0.9%
0-4
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).