Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Tamworth
16.1%
Draw
73.9%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Tamworth
vs
2.69
York
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
1-1
7.3%
0-1
6.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).