Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Union Berlin
24.1%
Draw
16.2%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Union Berlin
vs
0.85
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).