Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Harrogate
27.7%
Draw
53.1%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Harrogate
vs
1.32
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.8%
0-0
13.4%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.0%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).