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26 Apr 2026 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.6%
Lillestrøm
7.5%
Draw
88.9%
Bodø / Glimt

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Lillestrøm

vs
3.63

Bodø / Glimt

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.580.6%
Over 3.562.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
10.5%
0-4
9.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
0-5
6.9%
1-4
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
1-5
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-3
2.6%
2-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).