Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Aston Villa
27.7%
Draw
30.3%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Aston Villa
vs
1.32
Brentford
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).