Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Morecambe
25.1%
Draw
39.8%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Morecambe
vs
1.37
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).