Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
Genoa
19.1%
Draw
66.6%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Genoa
vs
2.13
Inter
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).