Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Tottenham
21.6%
Draw
12.3%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Tottenham
vs
0.85
Leicester
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).