Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.8%
Dortmund
16.7%
Draw
9.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Dortmund
vs
0.83
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
5-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).