Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Lens
29.1%
Draw
25.1%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Lens
vs
0.74
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).