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AHT: 01CSV

06 Dec 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Stuttgart
16.9%
Draw
67.8%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Stuttgart

vs
2.81

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS69.7%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.578.3%
Over 3.559.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
0-4
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
2-1
4.0%
2-4
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).