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DHT: 12CSV

15 Apr 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Eibar
35.4%
Draw
33.1%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Eibar

vs
0.80

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS29.6%
Over 0.579.4%
Over 1.546.6%
Over 2.521.0%
Over 3.57.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.6%
0-1
16.7%
1-0
16.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
2.0%
0-3
1.8%
3-0
1.6%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).