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30 Apr 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.5%
Coventry
25.5%
Draw
31.0%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Coventry

vs
1.39

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).