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DHT: 10CSV

10 Jul 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Chievo
30.8%
Draw
26.2%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Chievo

vs
0.95

Trapani

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).