Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Istra 1961
31.6%
Draw
29.9%
Varaždin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Istra 1961
vs
1.05
Varaždin
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).