Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Vallecano
24.3%
Draw
39.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Vallecano
vs
1.50
Almeria
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).