Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Oviedo
23.8%
Draw
16.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Oviedo
vs
0.74
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).