Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Salford
21.7%
Draw
18.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Salford
vs
0.91
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).