Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Werder Bremen
22.7%
Draw
30.7%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Werder Bremen
vs
1.62
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS70.2%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).